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Leverage is one of the most important
instruments in trading, as it allows a trader to
dispose of more funds than he actually has, thus boosting
his trading power and allowing for profits and/or
losses up to 400 times higher. It is obvious that
this enormous power can make the heaven or hell of any
trader. Lowering the leverage used is certainly one
way of reducing the inherent risks related to trading,
however as we will see below lowering the leverage is
just one side of the coin... There is more to risk management
than simply lowering the leverage, and the key aspect
is entirely different: lower leverage must result
in a smaller trading unit size in order to protect effectively
the trader from high volatility. Otherwise, a small
leverage would only create an illusion of safer trading.
It is very important to understand that our use of
technically high leverage is only intented to keep our
options open and allow for possible protective measures
(like hedging). We do not use high leverage in order
to boost our positions beyond what we consider to
be a reasonable level of exposure. We learned from past
experience that it is not exclusively the leverage
that induces large drawdowns and losses, but rather
the use of trading units too large in relation with
the account's available margin.
DON'T GET STUCK IN THE WORD
and its usual technical meaning: leverage may refer
to 2 entirely different aspects of the same thing, at
the same time. This is why we must draw an essential
distinction:
technical
leverage = it is an instrument that can be used
by the trader (and given by the broker) in order to
reduce the amount of margin required for a trade - this
is the leverage we use to the fullest possible extent.
We do not hesitate to use 400:1, if available, but
we still keep our positions small.
effective
leverage = it is the actual number by which a trader
effectively boosts his trading power beyond the limits
of the account. This is where the position size is paramount...
This is the REAL leverage, the Big Bad Wolf, the one
we all try to avoid but cannot do without.
Negative example: Somebody trades 1 Standard
Lot (100.000) on a 1000 USD account with 250 USD fixed
margin and 400:1 technical leverage. This means that
the trader uses at least 100:1 effective leverage (100.000=1000X100),
which of course (to us) sounds more like blackjack than
serious trading... A simple -75 pips market fluctuation
will trigger a margin call and a 75% account drawdown
- a scenario which on FOREX can easily turn into a real
nightmare in a matter of seconds! Please, don't try
this at home. Don't try it anywhere for that matter...
We never use more than a cumulated 6:1 effective
leverage, and we rarely reach this limit.
Let us imagine that we are using a broker which requires
a margin based on a fixed-dollar amount. In this
case, the actual position size will be:
Position size = required margin X leverage used
For example, we may trade a 50.000 USD account with
a huge 400:1 technical leverage, however even if our
remaining margin allows for significantly bigger positions
we will still use our small lots (30.000 per entry):
Scenario
nr. 1: 30.000 = 400 (leverage) X 75 (margin used
for each entry)
Alternatively (scenario 2), we could use a much smaller
50:1 technical leverage and instead trade lots three
times as big (90.000 per entry, of course on a margin
deposit which will result proportionally higher):
Scenario
nr. 2: 90.000 = 50 (leverage) X 3600 (margin used
for each entry)
In both cases, we would be able to enter the market
and have up to 10 such positions open at the same time.
There would still be some margin available... However,
it is obvious that the risk exposure is double in
this latter case, even if the technical leverage being
used is 8 times smaller than in our first scenario (which
should theoretically create a safer context). This
is a natural consequence of a pip value three times
as big (if in our first scenario a pip valued 3 USD,
in our second scenario each pip won or lost would effectively
value 9 USD, which means the risk of loss is triple
and our maximum drawdown limit would be reached three
times as fast).
Besides the fundamental difference of the trading
units, the only other notable difference between
the two cases featured above is the amount of margin
funds required by our broker to hold a position.
In the first case (required margin=75 USD), as the leverage
is 8 times higher than in the second case (required
margin=3600 USD), the margin we need to deposit with
our broker is 48 times smaller (as the rest of the funds
will be provided by the broker as an "invisible"
temporary loan). In the process of trading, the amount
of used margin is less important, as it is the
trading unit size that will eventually result in a bigger
profit or loss. However, even if we work on very
strict unit size rules, we believe that having more
funds to dispose of as margin (if needed) is preferable
to keeping larger amounts of money blocked into an open
position (which in the case the broker offers positive
interest for unused funds can create additional small
profits as well). In the first case, if 10 positions
are open at the same time this will require 10 X 75
= 750 USD as margin from our 50.000 USD account, which
leaves us with a total of 49.250 USD unused funds =
98.5% of the account balance. In the second case,
we will need 10 X 3600 = 36.000 USD as margin requirement,
which leaves us with only 14.000 USD unused funds in
our account = 28% of our account balance (actual
profits or losses resulted from trading are of course
excluded in both cases).
In a nutshell, our approach is this: if we can use high
leverage, we use it to the fullest possible extent.
Nevertheless, our rules with regard to trading units
stay the same and will be respected regardless of how
sure we may be of the outcome of a certain trade.
Money
Management / Understanding Leverage
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